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News from members WG07 Operational LEWS

Seven years of landslide forecasting in Norway. Strengths and limitations

NEWS received from
Graziella Devoli – NVE, Norway

New conference proceedings “Seven years of landslide forecasting in Norway – Strengths and limitations”  presented at 5th World landslide Forum, Kyoto, Japan (WLF5 | World Lanslide Forum 5 (iplhq.org))

In this short paper, the authors summarize the experiences acquired by the Norwegian Landslide Forecasting and Warning Service during the first 7 years (between 2013 and 2019) of operation and discuss some of the main strengths and limitations of the service. The authors recognize that the major strengths of the service were the national political will (towards the creation of such of service), the assignation of the landslide forecasting service to an existing well consolidated flood warning service, the strong collaboration across public agencies and the multidisciplinary approach. The existence of a national landslide database and of an operational distributed hydrological model were essential for the rapid establishment of relationships between landslides events and hydro-meteorological conditions. A strong development of IT-tools and expansion of the meteorological and hydrological network was also crucial. Several are the challenges and limitations, among them: an insufficient process-understanding of rainfall- and snowmelt-induced landslides, the difficult and tedious task of verifying landslide occurrence after a warning is sent and, the prediction of landslides triggered by local intense rain showers during summer, and by rapid snowmelt events during winter, due to the limitations that exist in the models and thresholds currently in use.

Reference: Devoli G., Colleuille H., Sund M., Wasrud J. (2021). Seven Years of Landslide Forecasting in Norway—Strengths and Limitations. In: Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021, N. Casagli et al. (eds.), Understanding and Reducing Landslide Disaster Risk, ICL Contribution to Landslide Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-60311-3_30  (pages 267-274)

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News from members

Workshop on Slope Stability and Landslide Risk Management

NEWS received from
Michele Calvello

NGI, in cooperation with ISSMGE TC304 and TC309, organises a half-day Technical Forum on Slope Stability and Landslide Risk Management on 14 December 2021 (8:30-12:30 CET).

To advance the understanding of landslide hazard and risk, this Forum will provide a platform for academics and practitioners to share insights and experience gained from research and practice. The Forum focuses on four themes, namely (1) Probabilistic slope stability assessment, (2) Climate impact on slope stability and landslides, (3) Landslide mobility and (4) Landslide risk assessment and mitigation.

The event will be conducted in a virtual  mode. Participation at the event is free of charge, but registration is compulsory and should be completed online. 

Link to register

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News from members

Session on LEWS at EGU2022

NEWS received from
Luca Piciullo, Dalia Kirschbaum, Neelima Satyam, Samuele Segoni, and Stefano Luigi Gariano

The EGU General Assembly 2022 #EGU22 will return as an in-person/hybrid event to Vienna, Austria, from 3-8 April 2022, once again bringing together geoscientists from all over the world.
The session entitled “Towards reliable Landslide Early Warning Systems” is now open to receive your contributions.

The session focuses on LEWSs at both regional and local scales. The session wishes to highlight operational approaches, original achievements and developments useful to operate reliable (efficient and effective) local and territorial LEWSs.
Contributions addressing the following topics are welcome:
rainfall thresholds definition for warning purposes;
–  monitoring systems for early warning purposes;
warning models for warning levels issuing;
performance analysis of landslide warning models;
communication strategies;
emergency phase management.

More info at https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU22/session/43376

The deadline for abstract submission is 12 January 2022, 13:00 CET.

For those applying for EGU Roland Schlich travel support, the deadline is 1 December 2021, 13:00 CET. Only EGU members with a valid 2022 membership will be able to submit abstracts to EGU22 and, with a few exceptions, only one abstract as first author will be permitted.

Note on presentation format: if you plan on participating virtually, you should submit your abstract to a vPICO session, since the oral/poster sessions will not provide the possibility for virtual presentation. If you plan on attending in-person in Vienna, feel free to submit to any session, vPICO as well as oral/poster sessions.

Looking forward to receiving your contributions and to meeting you all (in person or virtually) soon!
Luca Piciullo, Dalia Kirschbaum, Neelima Satyam, Samuele Segoni, Stefano Luigi Gariano

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News from members

New article on wildfire effects on debris flows and LEWS

NEWS received from
Davide Tiranti, Regional Agency for Environmental Protection of Piedmont region, Italy

New article “Wildfires Effect on Debris Flow Occurrence in Italian Western Alps: Preliminary Considerations to Refine Debris Flow Early Warnings System Criteria” published in the special issue of Geosciences journal on “Local and Territorial Landslide Early Warning Systems

In this paper, two case studies in the Italian western Alps on the relationship between wildfires and debris flows occurrence have been analyzed to understand how to integrate this factor in the regional debris flow early warning system (DFEWS). To define these correlations, the authors conducted analyses to characterize changes in the conditions and behavior of catchments after wildfires. The Curve Number (CN) method was adopted to estimate hydrological variations before and after wildfires and identify the differences in catchments response to rainfall events, due to its simple applicability over a large number of catchments. Rainfall analyses, using both data from raingauges and weather radars to identify the actual distribution of precipitation intensity fields, were addressed. The case studies described have led to some interesting results, both regarding the understanding of the wildfires effects on debris flows triggering in small Alpine catchments and on the necessary technical and operational adjustments to improve the DFEWS performance in case of wildfire occurrence.

Reference: Tiranti D., Cremonini R., Sanmartino D. (2021) Wildfires Effect on Debris Flow Occurrence in Italian Western Alps: Preliminary Considerations to Refine Debris Flow Early Warnings System Criteria. Geosciences 11, 422. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11100422

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News from members

New SHEAR publications introducing LEWS

NEWS received from
Mirianna Budimir, Practical Action, SHEAR Knowledge Broker

The Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) programme funded by FCDO and UKRI NERC supports world-leading research to enhance the quality, availability and use of risk and forecast information.

SHEAR is delighted to share with you three complementary resources that bring together learning and knowledge from across SHEAR and published literature to provide an introduction to landslide early warning systems for practitioners, donors, and researchers in developing countries:

We hope these introductory guides are useful for the LandAware community. For further information on the SHEAR programme and associated landslide projects and publications, please visit http://shear.org.uk.

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LandAware network

Presentation of the network at WLF5

Presentation of the LandAware network at WLF5, the 5th World Landslide Forum “Implementing and Monitoring the Sendai Landslide Partnerships 2015-2025” (2-6 November 2021, Kyoto, Japan)

Theme 3: Monitoring and Early Warning

Companion paper, published on Landslides https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10346-020-01548-7

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News from members

New article: Landslide risk assessment considering socionatural factors

NEWS received from
Paulo Hader – São Paulo State University (UNESP)

New article: Risk cross-referencing for landslide risk assessment at a municipal scale, by Paulo Hader and co-authors from São Paulo State University, Brazil

This recently published paper proposes a model for landslide risk assessment at the municipal scale, useful for early waninrg purposes.
Three products, being rainfall thresholds, landslide susceptibility map and social vulnerability map were produced statistically. To couple them, the authors used a two-matrix approach, where in the first matrix the susceptibility map and the vulnerability map were crossed, constituting the socio-natural criterion; and in the second matrix, the rainfall thresholds were coupled to the socionatural criterion, allowing a real-time assessment.
The authors found that the model offers easy adaptation and calibration once new data emerges, as well as being able to be integrated into a landslide early warning system to make explicit the areas of highest degree of loss, where interventions can be made in advance to reduce the risk in specific areas.

Reference: Hader, P.R.P., Reis, F.A.G.V. & Peixoto, A.S.P. (2021) Landslide risk assessment considering socionatural factors: methodology and application to Cubatão municipality, São Paulo, Brazil. Natural Hazards
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04991-4

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WG04 eLearning

Second online meeting of WG04 “eLearning”

The second meeting of the “eLearning” Working Group was held on October 5, 2021. The recording is available on our YouTube channel (video embedded below).

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WG06 LEWS data

Third online meeting of WG06 “LEWS data”

The third meeting of the “LEWS Data” Working Group was held on September 20, 2021. The recording is available on our YouTube channel (video embedded below).

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News from members

PhD-thesis defense (online) at UPC on 23/09/2021: Rosa Palau

NEWS received from
Marcel Hurlimann, UPC (Spain)

Title of PhD Thesis: “Landslide and debris flow warning at regional scale. A real-time system using susceptibility mapping, radar rainfall and hydrometeorological thresholds for Catalonia (NE Spain).”

PhD-candidate: ROSA MARIA PALAU BERASTEGUI

University: UPC BarcelonaTech

Time, day: Thursday, September 23th 2021, 10:30 (CEST)

link: https://meet.google.com/tcj-oqxd-rhq

It is an online defense, everybody is able to attend.